Category thesis
high conviction 13 technologiesRobotics & Autonomy
Robotics is two industries on different clocks: industrial-arm and autonomous-mining segments are mature commercial revenue while humanoid robots and passenger autonomy stay pre-production through 2027. Demo-to-deployment reliability is the structural problem the field has not solved at any tier.
The thesis
Category overview
Boston Dynamics Atlas entered production (CES 2026). Tesla Optimus Gen 3 mass production began. Waymo operates driverless robotaxis in 3 US cities. Amazon deploys 750,000+ warehouse robots. Autonomous mining trucks have operated since 2008. The technology spans from mature (mining, warehouse) to nascent (humanoid, passenger AV) — the gap between demos and production is wider than investors appreciate.
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